The San Diego Padres, led by Manny Machado, will host the Chicago White Sox and Andrew Benintendi at PETCO Park on Saturday at 8:40 p.m. ET in the first of a three-game series. Oddsmakers have pegged the Padres as -276 moneyline favorites, while the White Sox are listed as +225 underdogs. San Diego is also favored on the run line (-1.5 with -122 odds), and the over/under for total runs in the game is set at 8.
Here’s everything you need to know about the game from a betting perspective, including run line, moneyline, total, and expert picks.
Game Information & Odds:
- Date: Saturday, September 21, 2024
- Time: 8:40 p.m. ET
- Location: PETCO Park, San Diego, California
- TV Coverage: NBCS-CHI
| Team | Moneyline | Run Line | Over/Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Padres | -276 | -1.5 (-122) | 8 (-119 Over) |
| White Sox | +225 | +1.5 (+102) | 8 (-101 Under) |
Prediction:
- Score Prediction: Padres 6, White Sox 3
- Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
- Win Probability: Padres 64%, White Sox 36%
Betting Insights:
Padres:
- San Diego has been favored in 99 games this season, winning 58 of them (58.6%).
- Despite being heavy favorites at -276, San Diego has only played one other game at similar odds, which they lost.
- The implied probability for the Padres to win this game is 73.4%.
White Sox:
- Chicago has won 32 of their 145 games as underdogs this season (22.1%).
- As +225 underdogs or longer, they have gone 4-17.
- The implied probability of a White Sox win in this matchup is 30.8%.
Recent Performance:
Padres (Last 10 Games):
- Record: 6-4
- Runs Per Game: 4.5
- Home Runs: 15
- ERA: 2.47
- K/9: 8.4
White Sox (Last 10 Games):
- Record: 4-6
- Runs Per Game: 3.6
- Home Runs: 10
- ERA: 3.52
- K/9: 9.6
Player Insights:
Padres:
- Jurickson Profar: Batting .283 with 27 doubles, 23 home runs, and 74 walks. He ranks 44th in MLB for homers and 34th in RBI.
- Manny Machado: Leading the Padres with 29 home runs and 104 RBI. Machado is 21st in MLB for home runs and eighth in RBI. He’s hitting .381 with two doubles, three home runs, and nine RBI over his last five games.
- Jackson Merrill: Batting .292 with 28 doubles, six triples, 24 home runs, and 26 walks this season.
- Luis Arraez: Holds a team-best .320 batting average.
White Sox:
- Andrew Vaughn: Leads the team with 19 home runs and 67 RBI, batting .247. Vaughn is ranked 81st in MLB for home runs and 74th for RBI. He’s currently on a five-game hitting streak, batting .333 with a triple, two home runs, a walk, and four RBI.
- Andrew Benintendi: Benintendi has 19 home runs this season, ranking 81st in MLB.
- Gavin Sheets: Batting .238 with 24 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs, and 42 walks.
- Nicky Lopez: Batting .246 with 12 doubles, three triples, one home run, and 37 walks.
Conclusion:
The Padres are favored to win this matchup with strong momentum, a more productive offense, and better recent pitching stats compared to the White Sox. Expect the total score to go over 8 runs as both teams look to find offensive success.